The model behavior in actual condition indicates that national self-sufficiency is not achieved without the implementation of NSIR policy as indicated by the negative supply of WCS during the simulation period. The analysis period is based on the implementation year of the NSIR policy.
The modeling simulation is conducted using Powersim studio software to analyze national sugar industry from 2010 to 2025. Secondary data were taken from related institutions, i.e., Indonesia’s Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), sugar factory, and Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture. The primary data collection was conducted by interviewing the respondents, including sugar cane farmers, representatives from the Center for Sugar Research and Development (P3GI), National Plantation Company (PTPN) XI, Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture, as well as from the sugar factory representatives. This study used primary and secondary data. The objectives of this research are to: 1) examine the possibility of achieving self-sufficiency of WCS without the policy of National Sugar Industry Revitalization (NSIR), 2) analyze the impact of NSIR policy on the achievement of national sugar self-sufficiency, and 3) formulate an alternative policy of WCS production.
In 2010 to 2016, Indonesia imported white crystal sugar (WCS) to fulfill the household consumption. Self-sufficiency of WCS, NSIR, Dynamics System, Scenarios, Existing Condition, Sugarcane, Suppy and Demand policies Achieving Self-Sufficiency Through Sugar Supply And Demand Policies (Dynamics System Approach)
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